Bayesian Robustness with Quantile Loss Functions

نویسندگان

  • José Jablo Arias
  • Javier Hernández
  • Jacinto Martín
  • A. Suárez
  • Alfonso Suárez-Llorens
چکیده

Bayes decision problems require subjective elicitation of the inputs: beliefs and preferences. Sometimes, elicitation methods may not perfectly represent the Decision Maker’s judgements. Several foundations propose to overlay this problem using robust approaches. In these models, beliefs are modelled by a class of probability distributions and preferences by a class of loss functions. Thus, the solution concept is the set of non-dominated alternatives. In this paper we focus on the computation of the efficient set when the preferences are modelled by a class of convex loss functions, specifically the quantile loss functions. We illustrate the idea with examples and introduce the use of stochastic dominance in this context.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Bayesian Quantile Regression with Adaptive Elastic Net Penalty for Longitudinal Data

Longitudinal studies include the important parts of epidemiological surveys, clinical trials and social studies. In longitudinal studies, measurement of the responses is conducted repeatedly through time. Often, the main goal is to characterize the change in responses over time and the factors that influence the change. Recently, to analyze this kind of data, quantile regression has been taken ...

متن کامل

Bayesian Estimation of Shift Point in Shape Parameter of Inverse Gaussian Distribution Under Different Loss Functions

In this paper, a Bayesian approach is proposed for shift point detection in an inverse Gaussian distribution. In this study, the mean parameter of inverse Gaussian distribution is assumed to be constant and shift points in shape parameter is considered. First the posterior distribution of shape parameter is obtained. Then the Bayes estimators are derived under a class of priors and using variou...

متن کامل

Bayesian Quantile Regression with Adaptive Lasso Penalty for Dynamic Panel Data

‎Dynamic panel data models include the important part of medicine‎, ‎social and economic studies‎. ‎Existence of the lagged dependent variable as an explanatory variable is a sensible trait of these models‎. ‎The estimation problem of these models arises from the correlation between the lagged depended variable and the current disturbance‎. ‎Recently‎, ‎quantile regression to analyze dynamic pa...

متن کامل

Quantile hydrologic model selection and model structure deficiency assessment: 2. Applications

[1] Quantile hydrologic model selection and structure deficiency assessment is applied in three case studies. The performance of quantile model selection problem is rigorously evaluated using a model structure on the French Broad river basin data set. The case study shows that quantile model selection encompasses model selection strategies based on summary statistics and that it is equivalent t...

متن کامل

Quantile hydrologic model selection and model structure deficiency assessment: 1. Theory

[1] A theory for quantile based hydrologic model selection and model structure deficiency assessment is presented. The paper demonstrates that the degree to which a model selection problem is constrained by the model structure (measured by the Lagrange multipliers of the constraints) quantifies structural deficiency. This leads to a formal definition of model structure deficiency (or rigidity)....

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2003